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RFS Advance Access originally published online on August 25, 2004
Review of Financial Studies 2005 18(2):569-597; doi:10.1093/rfs/hhi007
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The Review of Financial Studies Vol. 18, No. 2 © 2004 The Society for Financial Studies; all rights reserved.

Short-Term Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance

Nicolas P. B. Bollen
Vanderbilt University

Jeffrey A. Busse
Emory University

Address correspondence to: Jeffrey A. Busse, Goizueta Business School, Emory University, 1300 Clifton Rd., Atlanta, GA 30322-2722, or e-mail: Jeff_Busse{at}bus.emory.edu

We estimate parameters of standard stock selection and market timing models using daily mutual fund returns and quarterly measurement periods. We then rank funds quarterly by abnormal return and measure the performance of each decile the following quarter. The average abnormal return of the top decile in the post-ranking quarter is 39 basis points. The post-ranking abnormal return disappears when funds are evaluated over longer periods. These results suggest that superior performance is a short-lived phenomenon that is observable only when funds are evaluated several times a year.


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