Skip Navigation

This Article
Right arrow Full Text (PDF)
Right arrow Alert me when this article is cited
Right arrow Alert me if a correction is posted
Services
Right arrow Email this article to a friend
Right arrow Similar articles in this journal
Right arrow Similar articles in ISI Web of Science
Right arrow Alert me to new issues of the journal
Right arrow Add to My Personal Archive
Right arrow Download to citation manager
Right arrow Search for citing articles in:
ISI Web of Science (9)
Right arrowRequest Permissions
Google Scholar
Right arrow Articles by Lamoureux, C. G.
Right arrow Articles by Zhou, G.
Right arrow Search for Related Content
Social Bookmarking
Add to CiteULike   Add to Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us  
What's this?

Rev Fin 1996; 9:1033-1059
© 1996 the Society for Financial Studies

Article

Temporary components of stock returns: What do the data tell us?

CG Lamoureux1 and G Zhou2
1 Department of Finance, School of Business and Public Administration, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA
2 Washington University, USA

Abstract

Within the past few years several articles have suggested that returns on large equity portfolios may contain a significant predictable component at horizons 3 to 6 years. Subsequently, the tests used in these analyses have been criticized (appropriately) for having widely misunderstood size and power, rendering the conclusions inappropriate. This criticism however has not focused on the data, it addressed the properties of the tests. In this article we adopt a subjectivist analysis - treating the data as fixed - to ascertain whether the data have anything to say about the permanent/temporary decomposition. The data speak clearly and they tell us that for all intents and purposes, stock prices follow a random walk.


Add to CiteULike CiteULike   Add to Connotea Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us Del.icio.us    What's this?


This article has been cited by other articles:


Home page
 REV FINANC STUDHome page
I. Welch and A. Goyal
A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction
Rev. Financ. Stud., July 1, 2008; 21(4): 1455 - 1508.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


Disclaimer:
Please note that abstracts for content published before 1996 were created through digital scanning and may therefore not exactly replicate the text of the original print issues. All efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, but the Publisher will not be held responsible for any remaining inaccuracies. If you require any further clarification, please contact our Customer Services Department.