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RFS Advance Access published online on April 2, 2004

Review of Financial Studies, doi:10.1093/rfs/hhh003
Review of Financial Studies © The Society for Financial Studies 2004; all rights reserved
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The Review of Financial Studies © The Society for Financial Studies 2004; all rights reserved.

Original Articles

Robust Portfolio Rules and Asset Pricing

Pascal J. Maenhout 1*
1 Finance Department, INSEAD, Boulevard de Constance, 77305 Fontainebleau Cedex, France

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: pascal.maenhout{at}insead.edu.


   Abstract

I present a new approach to the dynamic portfolio and consumption problem of an investor who worries about model uncertainty (in addition to market risk) and seeks robust decisions along the lines of Anderson, Hansen and Sargent (2002). In accordance with maxmin expected utility, a robust investor insures against some endogenous worst-case. I first show that robustness dramatically decreases the demand for equities and is observationally equivalent to recursive preferences when removing wealth effects. Unlike standard recursive preferences however, robustness leads to environment-specific effective. risk aversion. As an extension, I present a closed-form solution for the portfolio problem of a robust Duffie-Epstein-Zin investor. Finally, robustness increases the equilibrium equity premium and lowers the riskfree rate. Reasonable parameters generate a 4 to 6% equity premium.


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