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Strategic Investment and Industry Risk Dynamics

  1. M. Cecilia Bustamante
  1. University of Maryland and London School of Economics
  1. Send correspondence to M. Cecilia Bustamante, University of Maryland, 4428 Van Munching Hall, College Park, MD 20742, USA; telephone: (301) 405-7934. E-mail: mcbustam{at}rhsmith.umd.edu.

Abstract

This paper characterizes how firms' strategic interaction in product markets affects the industry dynamics of investment and expected returns. In imperfectly competitive industries, a firm's exposure to systematic risk is affected by both its own investment strategy and the investment strategies of its peers, so that the dynamics of its expected returns depend on the intraindustry value spread. In the model and the data, firms' betas and returns correlate more positively in industries with low value spread, low dispersion in operating markups, and low concentration.

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